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Debateable
Author: BobR
Date: 06/26/2024 12:47:30
The first presidential debate of this election year is happening tomorrow, so this will be my last blog before that happens. It's unusual to have the debate before either candidate is officially picked as their respective party's nominee. My understanding is that it's because so many states do early voting, and both have essentially clinched their party's nomination anyway.
Not that it will matter to the party faithful. What's up for grabs is those people who are referred to as "the undecideds", "the moderates", the "middle-of-the-roaders"... you know - those who "don't do politics". They will have to decide between the guy who the press keeps saying is too old, or the convicted criminal.
Unless he has a complete meltdown, President Biden should cruise to an easy win. If he's coherent and moderately energetic, he will wow those who've bought into the media hype of him being a dottering old coot. tRumpy, on the other hand, has everything to lose, and will if he goes off on one of his word salad rambling tangents.
I don't know who worked out the debate rules, but they definitely lean in President Biden's favor:
Leading into all this, was last night's primaries (yes, there are still some states which haven't had their primary yet). The results are mixed:
So while he may have control of the politicians already in office, the electorate is decidely not loyal to tRumpy. Here's hoping the political landscape looks a lot different on Friday morning.
Not that it will matter to the party faithful. What's up for grabs is those people who are referred to as "the undecideds", "the moderates", the "middle-of-the-roaders"... you know - those who "don't do politics". They will have to decide between the guy who the press keeps saying is too old, or the convicted criminal.
Unless he has a complete meltdown, President Biden should cruise to an easy win. If he's coherent and moderately energetic, he will wow those who've bought into the media hype of him being a dottering old coot. tRumpy, on the other hand, has everything to lose, and will if he goes off on one of his word salad rambling tangents.
I don't know who worked out the debate rules, but they definitely lean in President Biden's favor:
- No live audience, which means there will be no applause or boos that could derail the conversation.
- Muted microphones when it’s not their turn to speak.
- No prewritten notes are allowed.
- The only props they’re permitted to have at the lectern are a pen, a pad of paper and a bottle of water.
- They will stand behind their lecterns the entire time, limiting their mobility — with Biden on the right and Trump on the left.
- There will be no opening statements from either candidate.
- Trump will get the final word during closing statements, as determined recently by a coin flip.
Leading into all this, was last night's primaries (yes, there are still some states which haven't had their primary yet). The results are mixed:
Tuesday’s contests in Colorado, New York, South Carolina and Utah saw the first incumbent House Democrat to lose in a primary this cycle, along with several losses for Trump-endorsed candidates.
[...]
Arguably no political figure in the country has single-handedly wielded more influence than Trump, whose endorsements are often enough to carry a candidate across the finish line in a GOP primary.
But that wasn’t the case in three high-profile races Tuesday in which Trump-backed candidates fell short.
In a South Carolina runoff to determine the Republican nominee and likely eventual House member for the solidly red 3rd Congressional District, nurse practitioner Sheri Biggs narrowly bested Trump-endorsed pastor Mark Burns for the nomination. Her victory was also a win for Gov. Henry McMaster ®, himself a Trump ally, who had backed her.
In Colorado’s 5th Congressional District, controversial state GOP Chair Dave Williams lost his primary against Jeff Crank despite having Trump’s endorsement. Crank had establishment backing from Republican leaders like House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.), while Williams had drawn the ire of many within his own party over his divisive behavior and past statements.
And in Utah, Trump-endorsed Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs lost the Republican primary for the Senate seat being vacated by retiring Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah). Instead, Rep. John Curtis (R-Utah), a more moderate candidate, prevailed.
So while he may have control of the politicians already in office, the electorate is decidely not loyal to tRumpy. Here's hoping the political landscape looks a lot different on Friday morning.
Comments:
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Comment by Will_in_Ca on 06/26/2024 16:07:33
Good morning, bloggers!!!!
I think that the GOP is trying to set the bar low for Trump. However, I think Biden needs to go on the offensive and mention TFG's convictions and other matters that show him unfit for public office.
I think that the GOP is trying to set the bar low for Trump. However, I think Biden needs to go on the offensive and mention TFG's convictions and other matters that show him unfit for public office.