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The Wait List
Author: Raine    Date: 07/13/2023 12:32:24

Good Morning. As most of you may know, NATO held its annual meeting. Turkey signed on to allow Sweden to join the treaty organization. Some other things happened.

A timeline for Ukraine's entry was not one of them.
Zelensky’s ambitions were clear: He would demand nothing less than full NATO membership for Ukraine.

At the July 2022 summit, his requests were less vociferous. Zelensky only launched his bid for fast-track membership to join the alliance in September, after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that he would recognize four Ukrainian regions – Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia – as Russian territory.

Swiftly after Putin’s claims, Zelensky said that Ukraine was applying for NATO membership “under an accelerated procedure,” meaning that the Vilnius summit is the first time the issue has been on the alliance’s agenda.

Under NATO’s open-door policy, any European country is free to apply, which is why its numbers have swelled from 12 founding members to the 31 it has today – soon to be made 32 by Sweden’s accession.
Right now that is not realistic as Russia is waging a war on Ukraine, and NATO has a pretty big pillar as part of the treaty: Article 5.
The key section of the treaty is Article 5. Its commitment clause defines the casus foederis. It commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state, in the areas defined by Article 6, to be an armed attack against them all. Upon such attack, each member state is to assist by taking "such action as [the member state] deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area." The article has only been invoked once, but considered in a number of other cases.

That's commonly mentioned, but what isn't is another issue. This has nothing to do with the current President of Ukraine, really. It has to do with previous administrations' corruption. There is an entire wiki page about it. You'll recall that the first impeachment of TFG was an attempt to corrupt Zelensky, based on the bad behavior of former leaders of the country. Thankfully, it was halted by Alexander Vindman and others within our security spaces, and I suspect, intelligence from other places worldwide.

This war must end with Ukraine victorious; democracies around the world depend upon it. After that, Ukraine will need to show NATO that it will fight the kind of corruption that had found a place in the years after it left the former USSR. I think they can and will. It just may take more time than anyone wants. I for one, don't want another Turkey-like member of NATO. Erdogan is a disaster, IMO.

I think members of NATO made it clear behind the scenes about this because of what President Biden said as he addressed a crowd and at the conclusion of the meeting.
Zelensky left the summit without a timeline — but he did receive pledges for long-term security assistance by the United States and other G-7 nations. Biden has likened the aid to the kind that the United States provides Israel, and told reporters traveling with him that Zelensky was pleased.

"The one thing Zelensky understands now is that whether or not he's in NATO now is not relevant, as long as he has the commitments," Biden said, shortly before leaving Vilnius for Helsinki.


Slava Ukraine. When they remove Russia from its borders the world will be a better place. The rest is just a matter of waiting with patience.

Raine

 
 

2 comments (Latest Comment: 07/13/2023 16:16:36 by Will_in_Ca)
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